Frum-dumb?

David Frum is a self-absorbed, frequently reality-denying former speechwriter for George Bush. But no matter what he says, he always seems to convey the idea that he honestly believes what he's saying.

As such, his analysis of the fatal strategic decision in McCain's campaign is worth reviewing. In simple form, it goes like this:

• This summer McCain realized he was in trouble, so he rolled the dice on Palin
• The idea was to woo female and independent voters
• However, Palin instead has largely alienated both of these groups, while simultaneously energizing the right wing base
• Thus, her selection has taken the GOP for the foreseeable future down the path of hardening its radical conservative edge...while alienating many more people positioned toward the center

I hope he's right.